Cavaliers vs Heat prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA selections, Jan. 31 best bets from a proven model

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse is the site of a top Eastern Conference game on Tuesday night. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the miami heat in the second of four meetings between the teams this season. Cleveland is 31-21 overall and 21-5 at home, while Miami comes in at 28-23 overall and 11-14 in road games. Jimmy Butler (quads) and Gabe Vincent (ankle) are questionable for the Heat, with Nikola Jovic (back) and Omer Yurtseven (ankle) ruled out. Dylan Windler (ankle) is out for the Cavaliers, with Kevin Love (back) listed as likely.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as the 4-point home favorite, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will score, is 211.5 in the latest Heat vs. Cavaliers odds. Before locking the Cavaliers vs Heat selections, you must see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA Picks over the past four seasons. The supermodel enters Week 16 of the 2022-23 NBA season with a stunning score of 49-23 on all NBA top picks this season, netting nearly $2,300. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Cavs and just locked in his NBA picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices.. Now here are several NBA Odds and betting lines and trends for Cavs vs. Heat:

  • Spread Heat vs Cavaliers: Cavaliers -4
  • Heat vs Cavaliers over/under: 211.5 points
  • MIA The Heat are 10-13-1 against the spread in road games
  • CLE: Cavaliers are 17-8-1 ATS in last 10 games
  • Heat vs. Cavaliers Picks: See selections here

Why heat can cover

Miami is talented and disciplined, with the Heat bringing balance on offense. The Heat have three players averaging at least 20 points per game, with Bam Adebayo leading the way by producing 21.4 points and 10.0 rebounds per game while shooting 54% from the field. Miami takes care of the ball, committing just 13.5 turnovers per game and ranks No. 3 in the NBA in free throw accuracy at 82.5%.

On the other side, Miami is the elite of defensive opponents, allowing just 111.0 points per 100 possessions to rank in the top five in the NBA. The Heat create 16.6 turnovers and 8.6 steals per game, and rank in the top three in the NBA in defensive rebound rate (73.5%) and free throw attempts allowed (21.1 per game) . Miami leads the league in points allowed in the paint (44.5 per game), and the Heat are also excellent in transition, limiting opponents to less than 12 quick break points per game.

Why the Cavaliers can cover

Cleveland has the best offense in this game, and the Cavaliers have also covered in more than two-thirds of home games this season. The Cavaliers are led by a pair of dynamic guards in Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, with Mitchell averaging 27.9 points per game on 62.0 percent true shooting. Garland is adding 21.9 points and 8.2 assists per game, and the Cavaliers are in the top 10 in the NBA with over 1.14 points per possession. Cleveland is shooting 48.4 percent from the floor and 36.7 percent from 3-point range this season, and the Cavaliers are committing less than 14 turnovers per game.

On the other side, the Miami attack is a fight. The Heat are in the bottom five in the NBA in offensive efficiency, and Miami is shooting just 45.3 percent from the field and 33.4 percent from 3-pointers. The Heat also average just 22.1 free throw attempts per game, No. 25 in the league.

How to make Heat vs Cavaliers picks

SportsLine’s model looks at total points, with ten players expected to score at least 11 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Cavaliers? And which side of the gap hits in well over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs Cavaliers spread you should jump to on Tuesday, all from the model who crushed his NBA picksand find out.

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