NBA Monday predictions and picks: Fade Bucks, Jazz tonight

We are just over two weeks away from NBA trade deadline, and it sure looks like it with stars in and out of the lineup and talk of seemingly “exploding” on fans’ lips for every disappointing team this season.

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There are a handful of other players in action on Monday, including two who are worth betting as significant underdogs against teams that simply aren’t worth the price. Here are our favorite bets to make on BetMGM to open the week:

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Monday NBA Odds, Lines, Picks (via BetMGM)

  • Pistons +11.5 vs. Bucks
  • Hornets +7.5 @ Jazz
  • Trail Blazers -8.5 v Spurs

Prediction Pistons vs Bucks (7 p.m. ET)

You don’t score kudos with your friends for taking the points with the Pistons, who have dropped six of their last seven games with five double-digit losses in that streak. But I just can’t buy the value here on the Bucks with their roster so shaken by injuries.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is set to return from a five-game break on Monday, but we’ve seen this story before: He was on track to play twice in this streak before getting scratched, and he was mired in a curious shooting crisis. before he even ran out of time. I’m also skeptical of what we’ll see from Khris Middleton (knee) after missing 18 straight games with a similar injury.

The Bucks are already 2-4 ATS as double-digit favorites, even with their stars healthy, while the Pistons are 6-5 ATS as dogs at double digits – and haven’t grabbed as many points at home all season. Enjoy a bad price here.

Pistons pick vs. Bucks

Plunger +11.5 (BetMGM)

Giannis Antetokounmpo
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Getty Images

Jazz vs. Hornets Prediction (8 p.m. ET)

This is another case of a mismatch on paper with misaligned price because Utah really shouldn’t put up that many points against anyone with the look of this team in the month. last.

Since Christmas Day, the Jazz are 5-9 (6-8 CES) with as many wins by eight points or more (2) as losses by the same margin (2). That’s a bad sign as bettors expect them to win by that margin here against a Hornets team that is coming off two straight wins.

Going into Monday, teams below .500 are a brutal 11-26-2 ATS when they have at least eight points, with the Jazz posting a 1-4 ATS record at that chalk spot. Even if you’re on Charlotte with LaMelo Ball (ankle) still uncertain, it’s just too big to ignore.

Choice Jazz vs. Hornets

Hornets +7.5 (BetMGM)

Jazz guard Mike Conley
Jazz guard Mike Conley
Getty Images

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Prediction Trail Blazers vs Spurs (10 p.m. ET)

Losses don’t get much more frustrating than the one the Trail Blazers endured on Sunday, when they led by as much as 25 points before collapsing late against the Lakers. Don’t expect a new performance on Monday.

Since 2018, teams that suffered a loss in which they were leading by 25 points or more are 10-3 ATS in their next game and 3-1 ATS as home favorites this time around. place – all three wins being at least 13 points. The Trail Blazers have been remarkably resilient with Damian Lillard at the helm, posting a 5-1 ATS record after leading at least 20 points since being drafted in 2012.

Portland already owns two wins over the Spurs by a total of 23 points this season, and Lillard is playing some of the best basketball of his career over the past two weeks. Bet on an inspired effort from the Blazers in this one after Sunday’s embarrassing loss.

Trail Blazers pick vs. Spurs

Trail Blazers -8.5 (BetMGM)

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